[Home ] [Archive]   [ فارسی ]  
:: Main :: About :: Current Issue :: Archive :: Search :: Submit :: Contact ::
Main Menu
Home::
Journal Information::
Articles archive::
For Authors::
For Reviewers::
Registration::
Contact us::
Site Facilities::
::
Search in website

Advanced Search
..
Receive site information
Enter your Email in the following box to receive the site news and information.
..
:: Volume 18, Issue 62 (9-2018) ::
جغرافیایی 2018, 18(62): 159-169 Back to browse issues page
Predicting the spatial land use changes and development of residential areas using CA_MARKOV‎ and GEOMOD‎ methods. Case study: Ghara-su basin, Golestan Province
Behnaz Raheli Namin * 1, Samar Mortazavi1
1- Malayer University
Abstract:   (5358 Views)

Land use management, planning, studying and assessing the changes for receiving  sustainable development are essential. The study area was part of the Ghara-su basin in the west of Golestan Province. This area, is located in the vast and fertile plains and its modest distance to the Caspian Sea, provides a privileged geographical position. This paper attempts to model the spread of residential areas from 1988 to 2010 with using of GEOMOD. It is also predicted land use change, though done using CA_MARKOV. Series of images captured by the Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) in 1988 and 2010 were used to prepare the land cover map. The classification of satellite images was done through supervised classification and maximum likelihood. The accuracy of image classification was obtained through calculation of kappa coefficients for TM 1988 and 2010 at 0.90 and 0.88, respectively.

The results of modeling show a decrease in forest and agricultural area. Results indicated that the urban and residential areas have been extended (3312.99 ha).  The urban growth in the region has mainly taken place around Gorgan, which can be associated with the pattern ‎determined by the traffic-industry status. Identification of contributing factors to urban development through modeling, therefore, can play a key role in sustainable planning and appropriate management of resources in the future

Keywords: GEOMOD, CA_MARKOV, land use changes, development of residential areas, Ghara-su basin
Full-Text [PDF 1263 kb]   (1004 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special
Received: 2016/04/4 | Accepted: 2016/12/3 | Published: 2018/09/15
References
1. Ali, E. A., El Khidir, S. O., Babikir, I. A. A., Abdelrahman, E. M., (2012), "Landsat ETM+7 digital image processing techniques for lithological and structural lineament enhancement: Case study around Abidiya Area Sudan", The Open Remote Sensing Journal, 5: 83-89 [DOI:10.2174/1875413901205010083]
2. Cabral, P., Zamyatin, A., (2006), "Three land change models for urban dynamics analysis in Sintra-Cascais area", 1st EARSeL Workshop of the SIG Urban Remote Sensing, Berlin
3. Dadashpoor, H., Salariyan, F., (2015), "Analysis of the impacts of urban sprawl on land use changes in Sari city", Geographical Urban Planning Research, 3 (2): 145-163. [In Persian].
4. Eastman, J. R., (2006), "Idrisi andes guide to gis and image processing", Clark University, Worcester, ‎MA.‎
5. Guan, D. L., HaiFeng, I., Takuro, Su. W., Nagaie, T., Hokao, K., (2011), "Modeling urban land use change by the integration of cellular automaton and Markov model", Ecological Modelling, 222 (20-22): 3761-3772. [DOI:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.09.009]
6. Haase, D., (2010), "Land use change modelling in an urban region with simultaneous population growth and shrinkage including planning and governance feedbacks", Journal of the European Mathematical Society, 14: 124-133.
7. Iran's Statistics Organization, (2004), "Statistical Yearbook of Golestan Province", 278, Iran's Statistics Organization: Theran. [In Persian].
8. Kamyab, H. R., SalmanMahiny, A. R., Hoseyni, S. M., Gholamalifar, M., (2010), "Adoption of information-driven approach using logistic regression methodology for modeling urban development in Gorgan", The journal of ecology (JES), 36 (54): 89-96. [In Persian].
9. Longley, P. A., (2002), "Geographical information systems: will developments in urban remote sensing and gis lead to 'Better' urban geography? Progress in Human Geography, 26 (2): 231-239. [DOI:10.1191/0309132502ph366pr]
10. Mabudi, M.T., Hakimi, H., (2016), "An analysis of land use land changes and simulation of urban expansion of middle-point cities (Case study: Khoy City)", The Journal of Urban Planning Geography Research, 3 (2): 211-226. [In Persian].
11. Mas, J. F., Puig, H., Palacio, J. L., Sosa-Lo´pez. A., (2004), "Modelling deforestation using GIS and artificial neural networks", Environmental Modelling & Software, 19: 461-471. [DOI:10.1016/S1364-8152(03)00161-0]
12. Myint, Soe W., Wang, L., (2006), "Multicriteria decision approach for land use land cover change using Markov chain analysis and a cellular automata approach", Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing, 32 (6): 390-404. [DOI:10.5589/m06-032]
13. Piquer, R., Maria, T., Kuemmerle, D., Alcaraz, S., Raul, Zurita- M., Javier, C., (2012), "Future land use effects on the connectivity of protected area networks in southeastern Spain", Journal for Nature Conservation, 20 (6): 326-336. [DOI:10.1016/j.jnc.2012.07.001]
14. Pontius, R. G., (2000), "Quantification Error versus Location Error in Comparison of Categorical Maps", In ‎Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, 66 (8): 1011-1016.
15. Pontius, R. G., Schneider, L., (2001), "Modeling land-use change in the Ipswich watershed, Massachusetts, USA", Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 85: 1256-1277. [DOI:10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00187-6]
16. Pontius, R., Gilmore, C., (2006), "Geomod Modeling", USA, New Yourk Clark University. P. 44.
17. Pour Ahmad, A., Hesam, M., Ashoor, H., Mohamadpour, S., (2010), "The Analysis of physical spatial expansion of Gorgan using Entropy Shannon and Holden models", Journal Management System, 1 (2): 1-18. [In Persian]. Raheli_Namin, B., SalmanMahiny, A. B., Moradii, H. R., (2012), "Quantification of Underground Water Quality Parameters Using Land Use/Cover (Ghareh-Su Watershed, Golestan Province)", Journal of Natural Environment, 65 (1): 67-82. [In Persian].
18. Ramezani, N., Jafari, R., (2015), "Land use/cover change detection in 2025 with CA-Markov chain model (case study: Esfarayen)", Geographical Researches Quarterly Journal, 29 (4): 83-96. [In Persian].
19. Richards J. A., Jia X., (2005), "Remote Sensing Digital Image Analysis", Berlin: Springer Publication, 454.‎
20. Rousta, Z., Monavvari, S. M., Darvishi, M., Falahati, F., (2012), "Application of Remote sensing and Geographic Information System in Extraction of Shiraz Landuse Maps", Town and Country Planning, 6 (4):149-164. [In Persian].
21. Sadrmosavi, M., Rahimi, A., (2012), "An analysis of Tabriz's physical development and destruction of agricultural lands and urban green spaces", Geography Quarterly and Urban-Regional Planning, 4 (1): 99-109. [In Persian].
22. Schulz, J. J., Cayuela, L., Echeverria, C., Salas, J., Rey Benayas, J. M., (2010), "Monitoring land cover change of ‎the dryland forest landscape of Central Chile (1975–2008)", Applied Geography, 30 (3): 436-447. [DOI:10.1016/j.apgeog.2009.12.003]
23. Shalaby, A., Tateishi, R., (2007), "Remote sensing and GIS for mapping and monitoring land cover and land-use changes in the Northwestern coastal zone of Egypt", Applied Geography, 27 (1): 28-41. [DOI:10.1016/j.apgeog.2006.09.004]
24. Srivastava, P. K.,Han, D., Rico-Ramirez, M. A., Bray, M., Islam, T., (2012), "Selection of classification techniques for ‎land use/land cover change investigation", Advances in Space Research, 50: 1250-1265‎. [DOI:10.1016/j.asr.2012.06.032]
25. Xiao, J., Shen, Y., Ge, J., Tateishi, R., Tang, C., Liang, Y., Huang, Z., (2006), "Evaluating urban expansion and land use ‎change in Shijiazhuang, China, by using GIS and remote sensing", Landscape and Urban Planning, 75: 69-80.‎ [DOI:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2004.12.005]
Send email to the article author

Add your comments about this article
Your username or Email:

CAPTCHA


XML   Persian Abstract   Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

Raheli Namin B, Mortazavi S. Predicting the spatial land use changes and development of residential areas using CA_MARKOV‎ and GEOMOD‎ methods. Case study: Ghara-su basin, Golestan Province. جغرافیایی 2018; 18 (62) :159-169
URL: http://geographical-space.iau-ahar.ac.ir/article-1-2314-en.html


Rights and permissions
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Volume 18, Issue 62 (9-2018) Back to browse issues page
فضای جغرافیایی Geographic Space
Persian site map - English site map - Created in 0.18 seconds with 37 queries by YEKTAWEB 4657